May 2025 Economic Snapshot: Market Uncertainty Deepens

The U.S. economy showed signs of strain in May, with Q1 GDP dipping slightly and consumer confidence rattled by tariff-driven volatility. A temporary pause on China tariffs helped sentiment rebound somewhat, but inflation pressures, input costs, and geopolitical tensions continue to cloud the outlook.

The Fed held rates steady, mortgage rates crept higher, and prepayment speeds remained low, though coupons above 6% are beginning to move. The MSR market stays active, but pricing is cautious.

Straight from our Level1Analytics team, review their expert May economic recap analysis.

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